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Oscars 2022 predictions for Best Film

Variety's long list @ Xmas Eve 2021—in their ranked order, 1-30 ... now (6 Feb) divided into their groups, just before nominations are announced 8 February. ... Update: they've moved CODA up to the top since then.

Belfast (Kenneth Branagh, 2021) iTunes
The Power of the Dog (Jane Campion, 2021) Netflix
West Side Story (Steven Spielberg, 2021) Prime
Dune: Part One (Denis Villeneuve, 2021) HBO
Licorice Pizza (Paul Thomas Anderson, 2021)

King Richard (Reinaldo Marcus Green, 2021) HBO
CODA (Sian Heder, 2021) Apple; 'Child Of Deaf Parents'
Don’t Look Up (Adam McKay, 2021) Netflix

Being the Ricardos (Aaron Sorkin, 2021) Prime
Nightmare Alley (Guillermo del Toro, 2021) Hulu, HBO


No Time to Die (Cary Joji Fukunaga, 2021) Prime etc.
House of Gucci (Ridley Scott, 2021) Adam Driver, Lady Gaga
Tick, Tick... Boom! (Lin-Manuel Miranda, 2021) Netflix; musical biopic: Jonathan Larson
Parallel Mothers (Pedro Almodovar, 2021)
Drive My Car (Ryusuke Hamaguchi, 2021) Prime
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Joel Coen, 2021) Apple
The French Dispatch of the Liberty, Kansas Evening Sun (Wes Anderson, 2021) Prime
The Lost Daughter (Maggie Gyllenhaal, 2021) Netflix
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Jon Watts, 2021) Marvel
The Worst Person in the World (Joachim Trier, 2021) Norway


Encanto (Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Charise Castro Smith, 2021) animated
C'mon C'mon (Mike Mills, 2021) Prime; Joaquin Phoeni
A Hero (Asghar Farhadi, 2021) Prime; Iran; drama
Spencer (Pablo Larrain, 2021) Prime; Diana
Passing (Rebecca Hall, 2021) Netflix
The Tender Bar (George Clooney, 2021)
Cyrano
(Joe Wright, 2021) Peter Dinklage, musical
Last Night in Soho (Edgar Wright, 2021)
The Harder They Fall (Jeymes Samuel, 2021) Netflix; western
Flee (Jonas Poher Rasmussen, 2021) aka Flugt; animated doco


unranked others in alpha order

12 Mighty Orphans (Ty Roberts, 2021) Prime
7 Prisoners (Alexander Moratto, 2021) Brazil
A Chiara (Jonas Carpignano, 2021) Italian
A Journal for Jordan (Denzel Washington, 2021) war
A Quiet Place Part II (John Krasinski, 2020) fantasy
Ailey (Jamila Wignot, 2021) biopic of dancer Alvin Ailey
American Underdog (Andrew, Jon Erwin, 2021) biopic of quarterback
Annette (Leos Carax, 2021) Prime; musical
Antlers (Scott Cooper, 2021) horror
Army of the Dead (Zack Snyder, 2021) zombies
Bad Luck Banging or Loony Porn (Radu Jude, 2021) Rumanian
Bergman Island (Mia Hansen-Løve, 2021) Prime
Black Widow (Cate Shortland, 2021) Marvel
Blue Bayou (Justin Chon, 2021) immigrant
Bruised (Halle Berry, 2020) MMA fighter
Card Counter, The (Paul Schrader, 2021)
Colour Room, The (Claire McCarthy, 2021) Sky; biopic of Clarice Cliff
Coming 2 America (Craig Brewer, 2021) Prime; Eddie Murphy comedy
Compartment No. 6 (Juho Kuosmanen, 2021) Finnish romance
Courier, The (Dominic Cooke, 2020) spies
Cruella (Craig Gillespie, 2021) Disney, Prime; Emma Stone
Cry Macho (Clint Eastwood, 2021) moralism
Cusp (2021) doco
Dave Chappelle (2021) doco
Dream Horse (Euros Lyn, 2020) horse biopic
Electrical Life of Louis Wain, The (Will Sharpe, 2021) biopic of cat painter
Encounter (Michael Pearce, 2021) scifi
Eternals (Chloé Zhao) Marvel
Everybody’s Talking About Jamie (various, 2021) musical: dysphoric transvestite w Muslim girlfriend
Eyes of Tammy Faye, The (Michael Showalter, 2021) biopic of TF Bakker
F9 (Justin Lin, 2021) Vin Diesel; cars
Finch (Miguel Sapochnik, 2021) scifi fantasy robot
Flag Day (Sean Penn, 2021) crime drama
Free Guy (Shawn Levy, 2021) action comedy videogame
Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Ivan Reitman, 2021)
Green Knight, The (David Lowery, 2021) 'legendary'
Guilty, The (Antoine Fuqua, 2021) crime drama
Hand of God, The (Paolo Sorrentino, 2021) Netflix; autobiopic
Humans, The (Stephen Karam, 2021), family drama
In the Heights (John M. Chu, 2021) musical
India Sweets and Spices (Geeta Malik, 2021) comedy
Jockey (Clint Bentley, 2021) as in horses, drama
John and the Hole (Pascual Sisto, 2021) horror
Killing of Two Lovers, The (Robert Macolan, 2020) drama
Lamb (Valdimar Johannsson, 2021) Iceland; 'folk-horror'
Language Lessons (Natalie Morales, 2021) dramedy
The Last Duel (Ridley Scott, 2021) 'historical'
Luca (Enrico Casarosa, 2021) animated
Many Saints of Newark, The (Alan Taylor 2021) mafiosi
Matrix: Resurrections, The (Lana Wachowski, 2021)
Mass (Fran Kranz, 2021) drama
Mitchells vs The Machines, The (various, 2021) animated
Mogul Mowgli (Bassam Tariq, 2020) rapper drama
Mothering Sunday (Eva Husson, 2021) dromance
Nine Days (Edson Oda, 2020) fantasy
No Sudden Move (Steven Soderbergh, 2021) crime
Novice, The (Lauran Hadaway, 2021) thriller
Old Henry (Patsy Poncirolli, 2021) western
Operation Fortune: Ruse de Guerre (Guy Ritchie, 2022) action comedy
Petite Maman (Céline Sciamma, 2021) fantasy
Pig (Michael Sarnoski, 2021) Nicholas Cage
Plan B (Natalie Morales, 2021) comedy
Raya and the Last Dragon (various, 2021) animated
Red Rocket (Sean Baker, 2021)
Rescue, The (various, 2021) doco: Thai cave rescue
Respect (Liesl Tommy, 2021) Aretha Franklin biopic
Saint Maud (Rose Glass, 2019) horror
Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Destin Daniel Cretton, 2021) Marvel
Shiva Baby (Emma Seligman, 2020) Jewish
Sing 2 (Garth Jennings, 2021) animated
Souvenir Part II, The (Joanna Hogg, 2021) romance
Sparks Brothers, The (Edgar Wright, 2021) doco re bands
Spirit Untamed (various, 2021) animated
Stillwater (Tom McCarthy, 2021) crime
Summer of Soul (...Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised) (Questlove, 2021) doco
Suicide Squad, The (James Gunn, 2021) comic
Swan Song (Benjamin Cleary, 2021) Mahershala Ali
Swan Song (Todd Stephens, 2021) Udo Kier; Prime
Tomorrow War, The (Chris McKay, 2021) videogame
Velvet Underground, The (Todd Haynes, 2021) - the band
Titane (Julia Ducournau, 2021) scifi
Together Together (Nikole Beckwith) surrogacy
Together (Stephen Daldry, Justin Martin, 2021) Covid
Val (various, 2021) biodoco of Val Kilmer
Vivo (various, 2021) animated musical
Werewolves Within (Josh Ruben, 2021) videogame
Zola (Janicza Bravo, 2020) stripper road movie

References and Links

Variety.com (from which the order of the above is taken)

Variety is now (9 March) predicting that CODA will win best film (which would be cool with me).

Best Picture: “CODA” (Apple Original Films) – Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi, Patrick Wachsberger and Jerome Seydoux
Director: Jane Campion, “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Actor: Will Smith, “King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Actress: Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)
Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, “CODA” (Apple Original Films)
Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Original Screenplay: “Belfast” (Focus Features) – Kenneth Branagh
Adapted Screenplay: “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix) – Jane Campion
Animated Feature: “Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer
Production Design: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Patrice Vermette, Zsuzsanna Sipos
Cinematography: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Greig Fraser
Costume Design: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Jacqueline West, Robert Morgan
Film Editing: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Joe Walker
Makeup and Hairstyling: “Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon
Sound: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett
Visual Effects: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer
Original Score: “Dune” (Warner Bros) – Hans Zimmer
Original Song: “Dos Oruguitas” from “Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Lin-Manuel Miranda
Documentary Feature: “Flee” (Neon) – Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie
International Feature: “Drive My Car” from Japan (Janus Films/Sideshow)
Animated Short: “Robin Robin” (Netflix) – Dan Ojari and Mikey Please
Documentary Short: “Audible” (Netflix) – Matt Ogens, Geoff McLean
Live Action Short: “The Long Goodbye” (WePresent) – Aniel Karia, Riz Ahmed


Garry Gillard | New: 24 December, 2021 | Now: 16 March, 2022